AnalysisPolicySeptember 11, 2026

Debate erupts over AI extinction-risk forecasts and their numbers

An automated forecasting system cited by Ethan Mollick puts AI-caused mass catastrophe at 0.47% by 2030, versus 1.1% for catastrophe from any cause. Critics including Timnit Gebru and Amjad Masad argue extinction-risk percentages are presented without data or models.

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5 days · 0 reports · 6 community posts · from Sep 9

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