AnalysisPolicyNovember 10, 2026

AI Futures Project moves superhuman AI researcher forecast to 2027

Read original source →blog.aifutures.org

All AI 2027 authors now expect a Superhuman AI Researcher in 2027, citing METR's estimate that Anthropic's progress is ~2x its historical rate (1.3x-3x), with ~80% of the acceleration AI-driven. They put 35-65% odds on Top-Expert-Dominating AI arriving before 2028 and urge an industry-wide pause.

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