AnalysisPolicySeptember 13, 2026

Blog post pushes back on Dario Amodei's P(doom) framing

Armin Ronacher's post responds to Amodei's 10-25% P(doom) estimate and his "pacing the frontier" essay, arguing the near-term risk is nuisance botnets and agent-driven attacks rather than existential takeover. He cites a Wikipedia page on 2026 OpenAI agent cyberattacks and claims agents also poisoned RubyGems.

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