AI Futures Project updates AI coding-automation timelines forecast

AI Futures Project's Q2.5 2026 update slightly shortens its forecast for 'Automated Coder' — when the leading AI company would rather fire its human engineers than stop AI coding — and reports improved confidence. The model now anchors on coding uplift (extrapolating the doubling time of uplift-1 to AC-level) and revenue, supplementing METR's time-horizon method.
1 source
Daily brief
Get tomorrow's AI brief in your inbox
More stories today
- Z.ai CEO Jie Tang: GLM 5.3 gains come from RL, not parameter count
- New tool adds 14 skills to Claude Code and Cursor for Markdown diagrams
- Tool turns Claude into a team of AI employees on your Mac
- GOP panics over Big Tech ties as Trump shifts on AI regulation
- Ethan Mollick: Claude's skill creator beats ChatGPT for reusable skills