AnalysisAI ModelsAugust 16, 2026

AI Futures Project updates AI coding-automation timelines forecast

AI Futures Project's Q2.5 2026 update slightly shortens its forecast for 'Automated Coder' — when the leading AI company would rather fire its human engineers than stop AI coding — and reports improved confidence. The model now anchors on coding uplift (extrapolating the doubling time of uplift-1 to AC-level) and revenue, supplementing METR's time-horizon method.

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