AnalysisPolicyNovember 5, 2026

METR's Ryan Greenblatt: AI R&D acceleration already at AI 2027's March 2027 forecast

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Greenblatt estimates today's METR report shows AI R&D acceleration hitting levels the AI 2027 scenario predicted for March 2027. A separate tracker scoring the AI 2027 forecast stands at 19 of 24 predictions holding.

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